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International Journal of Infectious Diseases
International Society for Infectious Diseases
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  • He, Daihai3
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  • COVID-193
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  • Rapid Communication
    Open Access

    Quantifying the improvement in confirmation efficiency of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) during the early phase of the outbreak in Hong Kong in 2020

    International Journal of Infectious Diseases
    Vol. 96p284–287Published online: May 10, 2020
    • Jinjun Ran
    • Shi Zhao
    • Zian Zhuang
    • Marc K.C. Chong
    • Yongli Cai
    • Peihua Cao
    • and others
    Cited in Scopus: 4
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      The deadly coronavirus disease (COVID-19), caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2, formerly 2019-nCoV), has emerged in Wuhan, China, in December 2019 (WHO, 2020). COVID-19 cases were soon exported to other Chinese cities and overseas, mainly owing to the traffic surge near the Chinese Lunar New Year (Bogoch et al., 2020; Wu et al., 2020). The first imported cases in Hong Kong were confirmed and reported on January 23, 2020, see Fig. 1(a). Since then, the government of Hong Kong has implemented a series of control and prevention measures for COVID-19, including enhanced border screening and traffic restrictions (summary, in press; CHP, in press).
      Quantifying the improvement in confirmation efficiency of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) during the early phase of the outbreak in Hong Kong in 2020
    • Short Communication
      Open Access

      Preliminary estimates of the reproduction number of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Republic of Korea and Italy by 5 March 2020

      International Journal of Infectious Diseases
      Vol. 95p308–310Published online: April 22, 2020
      • Zian Zhuang
      • Shi Zhao
      • Qianying Lin
      • Peihua Cao
      • Yijun Lou
      • Lin Yang
      • and others
      Cited in Scopus: 50
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        The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak has caused 6088 cases and 41 deaths in Republic of Korea, and 3144 cases and 107 death in Italy by 5 March 2020, respectively. We modelled the transmission process in the Republic of Korea and Italy with a stochastic model, and estimated the basic reproduction number R0 as 2.6 (95% CI: 2.3–2.9) or 3.2 (95% CI: 2.9–3.5) in the Republic of Korea, under the assumption that the exponential growth starting on 31 January or 5 February 2020, and 2.6 (95% CI: 2.3–2.9) or 3.3 (95% CI: 3.0–3.6) in Italy, under the assumption that the exponential growth starting on 5 February or 10 February 2020, respectively.
        Preliminary estimates of the reproduction number of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Republic of Korea and Italy by 5 March 2020
      • Short Communication
        Open Access

        Preliminary estimation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Iran: A modelling analysis based on overseas cases and air travel data

        International Journal of Infectious Diseases
        Vol. 94p29–31Published online: March 11, 2020
        • Zian Zhuang
        • Shi Zhao
        • Qianying Lin
        • Peihua Cao
        • Yijun Lou
        • Lin Yang
        • and others
        Cited in Scopus: 51
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          The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was first reported in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China at the end of 2019, and soon spread to the rest of China and overseas (Bogoch et al., 2020). At the time of writing, 78 630 cases had been reported in China and 3664 cases had been confirmed in 46 other countries (World Health Organization, 2020). Iran has recently become an epicenter in the Middle East region and has seen the largest cumulative number of deaths outside China (Wikipedia, 2020). As of March 1, 2020, Iran had confirmed 987 COVID-19 cases, including 54 associated deaths (Wikipedia, 2020).
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