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International Journal of Infectious Diseases
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  • Short Communication
    Open Access

    Exported cases were infected on the way: A conjecture derived from analysis on Hong Kong monthly exported COVID-19 cases

    International Journal of Infectious Diseases
    Vol. 118p62–64Published online: February 22, 2022
    • Mengxin Xie
    • Nanxi Dong
    • Xinzhi Zhang
    • Daihai He
    Cited in Scopus: 1
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      During this COVID-19 pandemic, imported cases have played the role of triggering outbreaks in their arrival city and exported cases are used to infer the infection risk in their departure city (Imai et al., 2020; Menkir et al., 2021). Hong Kong, as a hub of international travel, faced this situation in particular. However, we argue that in the current phase of the pandemic, the role of exported cases in inferring the infection risk in their departure city loses its power; we use Hong Kong, an international travel hub, as an example.
      Exported cases were infected on the way: A conjecture derived from analysis on Hong Kong monthly exported COVID-19 cases
    • Short Communication
      Open Access

      COVID-19 and Lassa fever in Nigeria: A deadly alliance?

      International Journal of Infectious Diseases
      Vol. 117p45–47Published online: January 29, 2022
      • Salihu Sabiu Musa
      • Shi Zhao
      • Zainab Umar Abdullahi
      • Abdulrazaq Garba Habib
      • Daihai He
      Cited in Scopus: 6
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        COVID-19 has become one of the most dangerous pandemics to cause severe problems for humanity in the past decades. SARS-CoV-2, a virus that causes COVID-19, emanated from China in December 2019, when public health officials alerted the World Health Organization (WHO) about pneumonia of an unknown etiology (WHO, 2021; Li et al., 2020). Subsequently, the disease rapidly spread worldwide. Nigeria faces a potential public health crisis owing to the synergistic epidemic of COVID-19 and other infectious diseases (Sherrard-Smith et al., 2020; Bouba et al., 2021).
        COVID-19 and Lassa fever in Nigeria: A deadly alliance?
      • Short Communication
        Open Access

        Influenza versus COVID-19 cases among influenza-like illness patients in travelers from Wuhan to Hong Kong in January 2020

        International Journal of Infectious Diseases
        Vol. 101p323–325Published online: October 1, 2020
        • Jun Tao
        • Huizhi Gao
        • Shuying Zhu
        • Lin Yang
        • Daihai He
        Cited in Scopus: 0
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          The coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has dominated the world for well over half a year since the early outbreak in Wuhan, China. The pandemic hit Wuhan, Hubei, China hard, and the city had been in lockdown for more than 70 days. Much attention has been focused on estimating the accurate prevalence of COVID-19 cases in Wuhan in January 2020. Even though large-scale serological studies have been conducted, the initial spread of the virus in Wuhan still remains unclear. It seems clear, though, that the COVID-19 outbreak followed the seasonal influenza epidemic.
          Influenza versus COVID-19 cases among influenza-like illness patients in travelers from Wuhan to Hong Kong in January 2020
        • Rapid Communication
          Open Access

          Quantifying the improvement in confirmation efficiency of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) during the early phase of the outbreak in Hong Kong in 2020

          International Journal of Infectious Diseases
          Vol. 96p284–287Published online: May 10, 2020
          • Jinjun Ran
          • Shi Zhao
          • Zian Zhuang
          • Marc K.C. Chong
          • Yongli Cai
          • Peihua Cao
          • and others
          Cited in Scopus: 4
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            The deadly coronavirus disease (COVID-19), caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2, formerly 2019-nCoV), has emerged in Wuhan, China, in December 2019 (WHO, 2020). COVID-19 cases were soon exported to other Chinese cities and overseas, mainly owing to the traffic surge near the Chinese Lunar New Year (Bogoch et al., 2020; Wu et al., 2020). The first imported cases in Hong Kong were confirmed and reported on January 23, 2020, see Fig. 1(a). Since then, the government of Hong Kong has implemented a series of control and prevention measures for COVID-19, including enhanced border screening and traffic restrictions (summary, in press; CHP, in press).
            Quantifying the improvement in confirmation efficiency of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) during the early phase of the outbreak in Hong Kong in 2020
          • Letter to the Editor
            Open Access

            Preliminary estimation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Iran: A reply to Sharifi

            International Journal of Infectious Diseases
            Vol. 95p429–430Published online: April 30, 2020
            • Zian Zhuang
            • Shi Zhao
            • Qianying Lin
            • Peihua Cao
            • Yijun Lou
            • Lin Yang
            • and others
            Cited in Scopus: 3
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              The worldwide outbreak of the novel coronavirus (SARS-Cov-2) pneumonia remains a major public health concern. We thank Sharifi et al.’s comments to our recent study (Zhuang et al., 2020). In that paper we adopted the similar method as Imai's (Imai et al., 2020), which was used to estimate the number of COVID-19 cases in the early stages of the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan, Hubei, China. The model provided a rough range estimation about the epidemic size and has been recognized by peers as a valid method in the early stage of an epidemic (Kucharski et al., 2020; Boldog et al., 2020; Ng et al., 2020).
            • Short Communication
              Open Access

              Preliminary estimates of the reproduction number of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Republic of Korea and Italy by 5 March 2020

              International Journal of Infectious Diseases
              Vol. 95p308–310Published online: April 22, 2020
              • Zian Zhuang
              • Shi Zhao
              • Qianying Lin
              • Peihua Cao
              • Yijun Lou
              • Lin Yang
              • and others
              Cited in Scopus: 51
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                The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak has caused 6088 cases and 41 deaths in Republic of Korea, and 3144 cases and 107 death in Italy by 5 March 2020, respectively. We modelled the transmission process in the Republic of Korea and Italy with a stochastic model, and estimated the basic reproduction number R0 as 2.6 (95% CI: 2.3–2.9) or 3.2 (95% CI: 2.9–3.5) in the Republic of Korea, under the assumption that the exponential growth starting on 31 January or 5 February 2020, and 2.6 (95% CI: 2.3–2.9) or 3.3 (95% CI: 3.0–3.6) in Italy, under the assumption that the exponential growth starting on 5 February or 10 February 2020, respectively.
                Preliminary estimates of the reproduction number of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Republic of Korea and Italy by 5 March 2020
              • Short Communication
                Open Access

                Preliminary estimation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Iran: A modelling analysis based on overseas cases and air travel data

                International Journal of Infectious Diseases
                Vol. 94p29–31Published online: March 11, 2020
                • Zian Zhuang
                • Shi Zhao
                • Qianying Lin
                • Peihua Cao
                • Yijun Lou
                • Lin Yang
                • and others
                Cited in Scopus: 52
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                  The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was first reported in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China at the end of 2019, and soon spread to the rest of China and overseas (Bogoch et al., 2020). At the time of writing, 78 630 cases had been reported in China and 3664 cases had been confirmed in 46 other countries (World Health Organization, 2020). Iran has recently become an epicenter in the Middle East region and has seen the largest cumulative number of deaths outside China (Wikipedia, 2020). As of March 1, 2020, Iran had confirmed 987 COVID-19 cases, including 54 associated deaths (Wikipedia, 2020).
                • Letter to the Editor
                  Open Access

                  The basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) estimation based on exponential growth in the early outbreak in China from 2019 to 2020: A reply to Dhungana

                  International Journal of Infectious Diseases
                  Vol. 94p148–150Published online: February 20, 2020
                  • Shi Zhao
                  • Qianying Lin
                  • Jinjun Ran
                  • Salihu S. Musa
                  • Guangpu Yang
                  • Weiming Wang
                  • Yijun Lou
                  • Daozhou Gao
                  • Lin Yang
                  • Daihai He
                  • Maggie H Wang
                  Cited in Scopus: 23
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                    The ongoing outbreak of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) pneumonia in Wuhan, China and other regions remains a major public health concern. We thank Dhungana for comments to our study, Zhao et al. (2020), recently published in the International Journal of Infectious Diseases. The estimates on the basic reproduction number, R0, were carried out early in the outbreak as of January 22, 2020, when the surveillance data and the knowledge of the key epidemiological features of 2019-nCoV were limited.
                    The basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) estimation based on exponential growth in the early outbreak in China from 2019 to 2020: A reply to Dhungana
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