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International Journal of Infectious Diseases
International Society for Infectious Diseases
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  • Letter to the Editor
    Open Access

    Preliminary estimation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Iran: A reply to Sharifi

    International Journal of Infectious Diseases
    Vol. 95p429–430Published online: April 30, 2020
    • Zian Zhuang
    • Shi Zhao
    • Qianying Lin
    • Peihua Cao
    • Yijun Lou
    • Lin Yang
    • and others
    Cited in Scopus: 3
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      The worldwide outbreak of the novel coronavirus (SARS-Cov-2) pneumonia remains a major public health concern. We thank Sharifi et al.’s comments to our recent study (Zhuang et al., 2020). In that paper we adopted the similar method as Imai's (Imai et al., 2020), which was used to estimate the number of COVID-19 cases in the early stages of the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan, Hubei, China. The model provided a rough range estimation about the epidemic size and has been recognized by peers as a valid method in the early stage of an epidemic (Kucharski et al., 2020; Boldog et al., 2020; Ng et al., 2020).
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