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International Journal of Infectious Diseases
International Society for Infectious Diseases
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  • Letter to the Editor
    Open Access

    The basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) estimation based on exponential growth in the early outbreak in China from 2019 to 2020: A reply to Dhungana

    International Journal of Infectious Diseases
    Vol. 94p148–150Published online: February 20, 2020
    • Shi Zhao
    • Qianying Lin
    • Jinjun Ran
    • Salihu S. Musa
    • Guangpu Yang
    • Weiming Wang
    • Yijun Lou
    • Daozhou Gao
    • Lin Yang
    • Daihai He
    • Maggie H Wang
    Cited in Scopus: 23
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      The ongoing outbreak of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) pneumonia in Wuhan, China and other regions remains a major public health concern. We thank Dhungana for comments to our study, Zhao et al. (2020), recently published in the International Journal of Infectious Diseases. The estimates on the basic reproduction number, R0, were carried out early in the outbreak as of January 22, 2020, when the surveillance data and the knowledge of the key epidemiological features of 2019-nCoV were limited.
      The basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) estimation based on exponential growth in the early outbreak in China from 2019 to 2020: A reply to Dhungana
    • Research Article
      Open Access

      Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak

      International Journal of Infectious Diseases
      Vol. 92p214–217Published online: January 30, 2020
      • Shi Zhao
      • Qianyin Lin
      • Jinjun Ran
      • Salihu S. Musa
      • Guangpu Yang
      • Weiming Wang
      • and others
      Cited in Scopus: 1051
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        The atypical pneumonia case, caused by a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), was first reported and confirmed in Wuhan, China on December 31, 2019 (World Health Organization, 2020a). As of January 26 (17:00 GMT), 2020, there have been 2033 confirmed cases of 2019-nCoV infections in mainland China, including 56 deaths (National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China, 2020). The 2019-nCoV cases were also reported in Thailand, Japan, Republic of Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan and the US, and all of these cases were exported from Wuhan; see the World Health Organization (WHO) news release https://www.who.int/csr/don/en/ from January 14–21.
        Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak
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