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International Journal of Infectious Diseases
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  • Alvis-Zakzuk, Nelson J1
  • de la Hoz, Alejandro1
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  • Gómez del Corral, Luz1

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  • Research Article
    Open Access

    Is Colombia an example of successful containment of the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic? A critical analysis of the epidemiological data, March to July 2020

    International Journal of Infectious Diseases
    Vol. 99p522–529Published online: August 10, 2020
    • Fernando De la Hoz-Restrepo
    • Nelson J. Alvis-Zakzuk
    • Juan Fernando De la Hoz-Gomez
    • Alejandro De la Hoz
    • Luz Gómez Del Corral
    • Nelson Alvis-Guzmán
    Cited in Scopus: 25
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      By July 25, Colombia had confirmed 240 795 cases of COVID-19 and 8269 deaths (case fatality rate of 3.4%). All departments had reported cases, but 292 municipalities were apparently free of COVID-19 (26%) and 373 (33.2%) had seen limited transmission. Specific mortality rates by department ranged from 0 in Vichada to 1278 in Amazonas, which was 7.8 times the national rate (incidence rate ratio (IRR) = 7.8, 95% confidence interval 6.4–9.5). Using a conservative approach to assess the potential underestimation of cases, it was estimated that, by July 25, Colombia should have detected 1 328 175 cases instead of the actual 240 795 observed, an underestimation of 82%.
      Is Colombia an example of successful containment of the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic? A critical analysis of the epidemiological data, March to July 2020
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