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International Journal of Infectious Diseases
International Society for Infectious Diseases
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  • Rapid Communication5
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  • He, Daihai10
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  • International Journal of Infectious Diseases13

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  • Short Communication
    Open Access

    COVID-19 and Lassa fever in Nigeria: A deadly alliance?

    International Journal of Infectious Diseases
    Vol. 117p45–47Published online: January 29, 2022
    • Salihu Sabiu Musa
    • Shi Zhao
    • Zainab Umar Abdullahi
    • Abdulrazaq Garba Habib
    • Daihai He
    Cited in Scopus: 6
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      COVID-19 has become one of the most dangerous pandemics to cause severe problems for humanity in the past decades. SARS-CoV-2, a virus that causes COVID-19, emanated from China in December 2019, when public health officials alerted the World Health Organization (WHO) about pneumonia of an unknown etiology (WHO, 2021; Li et al., 2020). Subsequently, the disease rapidly spread worldwide. Nigeria faces a potential public health crisis owing to the synergistic epidemic of COVID-19 and other infectious diseases (Sherrard-Smith et al., 2020; Bouba et al., 2021).
      COVID-19 and Lassa fever in Nigeria: A deadly alliance?
    • LETTER TO EDITOR
      Open Access

      Response to Comments on “Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: a data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak”

      International Journal of Infectious Diseases
      Vol. 115p70–71Published online: December 4, 2021
      • Subhash Kumar Yadav
      • Shi Zhao
      • Yusuf Akhter
      Cited in Scopus: 0
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        This letter refers to the recently published comments (Dhungana, 2020) on the article “Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: a data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak” by Zhao et al. (Zhao et al., 2020). The 2019-nCoV (now known as severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, SARS-CoV-2) is similar to the virus causing middle east respiratory syndrome (MERS) and severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS); therefore, in the published paper (Zhao et al., 2020), the serial interval (SI) used by the authors in the study was the average of the reported SIs of MERS (Assiri et al., 2013) and SARS (Lipsitch et al., 2003).
      • Letter to the Editor
        Open Access

        A re-analysis to identify the structural breaks in COVID-19 transmissibility during the early phase of the outbreak in South Korea

        International Journal of Infectious Diseases
        Vol. 100p10–11Published online: August 27, 2020
        • Shi Zhao
        • Xue Liang
        Cited in Scopus: 1
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          Exploring the temporal patterns of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission is of importance in understanding the features of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and developing control strategies (Chong et al., 2020). By using the ‘SIR’-based compartmental model, one breakpoint with a drop in the transmission rate, i.e., 7 March 2020, was estimated in the COVID-19 outbreak in South Korea (Kim et al., 2020). In this study, a re-analysis of the outbreak in South Korea was performed, and we argue that there was likley more than one structural break in the local SARS-CoV-2 transmission.
          A re-analysis to identify the structural breaks in COVID-19 transmissibility during the early phase of the outbreak in South Korea
        • Perspective
          Open Access

          Comparing COVID-19 and the 1918–19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom

          International Journal of Infectious Diseases
          Vol. 98p67–70Published online: June 26, 2020
          • Daihai He
          • Shi Zhao
          • Yingke Li
          • Peihua Cao
          • Daozhou Gao
          • Yijun Lou
          • and others
          Cited in Scopus: 27
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            The fast spread and high fatality rate of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remind us of the first pandemic in the last century — the 1918–19 influenza pandemic. Indeed, the SARS-CoV-2 and the 1918 A/H1N1 influenza virus share some common properties:
            Comparing COVID-19 and the 1918–19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom
          • Short Communication
            Open Access

            Monitoring disease transmissibility of 2019 novel coronavirus disease in Zhejiang, China

            International Journal of Infectious Diseases
            Vol. 96p128–130Published online: May 15, 2020
            • Ka Chun Chong
            • Wei Cheng
            • Shi Zhao
            • Feng Ling
            • Kirran N. Mohammad
            • Maggie Haitian Wang
            • and others
            Cited in Scopus: 19
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              In December 2019, a novel strain of coronavirus emerged and caused an outbreak in Wuhan, Hubei province, China (WHO, 2020). The disease responsible for the outbreak has been officially named by the World Health Organization (WHO) as COVID-19. To halt the spread of COVID-19, the Chinese government announced a complete lockdown in Wuhan on 23 January 2020. A set of draconian countermeasures were issued to other cities in Hubei province since 26 January 2020, aiming to quarantine the epicentre of the outbreak (Amy and Wuhan, 2020).
              Monitoring disease transmissibility of 2019 novel coronavirus disease in Zhejiang, China
            • Rapid Communication
              Open Access

              Quantifying the improvement in confirmation efficiency of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) during the early phase of the outbreak in Hong Kong in 2020

              International Journal of Infectious Diseases
              Vol. 96p284–287Published online: May 10, 2020
              • Jinjun Ran
              • Shi Zhao
              • Zian Zhuang
              • Marc K.C. Chong
              • Yongli Cai
              • Peihua Cao
              • and others
              Cited in Scopus: 4
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                The deadly coronavirus disease (COVID-19), caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2, formerly 2019-nCoV), has emerged in Wuhan, China, in December 2019 (WHO, 2020). COVID-19 cases were soon exported to other Chinese cities and overseas, mainly owing to the traffic surge near the Chinese Lunar New Year (Bogoch et al., 2020; Wu et al., 2020). The first imported cases in Hong Kong were confirmed and reported on January 23, 2020, see Fig. 1(a). Since then, the government of Hong Kong has implemented a series of control and prevention measures for COVID-19, including enhanced border screening and traffic restrictions (summary, in press; CHP, in press).
                Quantifying the improvement in confirmation efficiency of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) during the early phase of the outbreak in Hong Kong in 2020
              • Letter to the Editor
                Open Access

                Preliminary estimation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Iran: A reply to Sharifi

                International Journal of Infectious Diseases
                Vol. 95p429–430Published online: April 30, 2020
                • Zian Zhuang
                • Shi Zhao
                • Qianying Lin
                • Peihua Cao
                • Yijun Lou
                • Lin Yang
                • and others
                Cited in Scopus: 3
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                  The worldwide outbreak of the novel coronavirus (SARS-Cov-2) pneumonia remains a major public health concern. We thank Sharifi et al.’s comments to our recent study (Zhuang et al., 2020). In that paper we adopted the similar method as Imai's (Imai et al., 2020), which was used to estimate the number of COVID-19 cases in the early stages of the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan, Hubei, China. The model provided a rough range estimation about the epidemic size and has been recognized by peers as a valid method in the early stage of an epidemic (Kucharski et al., 2020; Boldog et al., 2020; Ng et al., 2020).
                • Short Communication
                  Open Access

                  Preliminary estimates of the reproduction number of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Republic of Korea and Italy by 5 March 2020

                  International Journal of Infectious Diseases
                  Vol. 95p308–310Published online: April 22, 2020
                  • Zian Zhuang
                  • Shi Zhao
                  • Qianying Lin
                  • Peihua Cao
                  • Yijun Lou
                  • Lin Yang
                  • and others
                  Cited in Scopus: 50
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                    The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak has caused 6088 cases and 41 deaths in Republic of Korea, and 3144 cases and 107 death in Italy by 5 March 2020, respectively. We modelled the transmission process in the Republic of Korea and Italy with a stochastic model, and estimated the basic reproduction number R0 as 2.6 (95% CI: 2.3–2.9) or 3.2 (95% CI: 2.9–3.5) in the Republic of Korea, under the assumption that the exponential growth starting on 31 January or 5 February 2020, and 2.6 (95% CI: 2.3–2.9) or 3.3 (95% CI: 3.0–3.6) in Italy, under the assumption that the exponential growth starting on 5 February or 10 February 2020, respectively.
                    Preliminary estimates of the reproduction number of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Republic of Korea and Italy by 5 March 2020
                  • Perspective
                    Open Access

                    The relative transmissibility of asymptomatic COVID-19 infections among close contacts

                    International Journal of Infectious Diseases
                    Vol. 94p145–147Published online: April 18, 2020
                    • Daihai He
                    • Shi Zhao
                    • Qianying Lin
                    • Zian Zhuang
                    • Peihua Cao
                    • Maggie H. Wang
                    • and others
                    Cited in Scopus: 134
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                      Nishiura et al. (2020) estimated the asymptomatic ratio of COVID-19 was 41.6% (5 out of 12 confirmed cases) among 565 Japanese individuals evacuated from Wuhan, China. Mao et al. (2020) reported that 2 out of 78 confirmed cases are asymptomatic. One of the two cases showed RT-PCT positivity 15th days after first diagnosis. Mizumoto et al. (2020) estimated that the 17.9% of cases on the Diamond Princess Cruise Ship were asymptomatic case during the outbreak in February 2020. However, the transmissibility of asymptomatic case is unclear, and the positive RT-PCT results only imply the potential infectivity.
                      The relative transmissibility of asymptomatic COVID-19 infections among close contacts
                    • Short Communication
                      Open Access

                      Preliminary estimation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Iran: A modelling analysis based on overseas cases and air travel data

                      International Journal of Infectious Diseases
                      Vol. 94p29–31Published online: March 11, 2020
                      • Zian Zhuang
                      • Shi Zhao
                      • Qianying Lin
                      • Peihua Cao
                      • Yijun Lou
                      • Lin Yang
                      • and others
                      Cited in Scopus: 51
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                        The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was first reported in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China at the end of 2019, and soon spread to the rest of China and overseas (Bogoch et al., 2020). At the time of writing, 78 630 cases had been reported in China and 3664 cases had been confirmed in 46 other countries (World Health Organization, 2020). Iran has recently become an epicenter in the Middle East region and has seen the largest cumulative number of deaths outside China (Wikipedia, 2020). As of March 1, 2020, Iran had confirmed 987 COVID-19 cases, including 54 associated deaths (Wikipedia, 2020).
                      • Research Article
                        Open Access

                        A conceptual model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China with individual reaction and governmental action

                        International Journal of Infectious Diseases
                        Vol. 93p211–216Published online: March 4, 2020
                        • Qianying Lin
                        • Shi Zhao
                        • Daozhou Gao
                        • Yijun Lou
                        • Shu Yang
                        • Salihu S. Musa
                        • and others
                        Cited in Scopus: 625
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                          The ongoing outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), has claimed 2663 lives, along with 77,658 confirmed cases and 2824 suspected cases in China, as of 24 February 2020 (24:00 GMT+8), according to the National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China (NHCPRC, 2020). The number of deaths associated with COVID-19 greatly exceeds the other two coronaviruses (severe acure respiratory syndrome coronavirus, SARS-CoV, and Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus, MERS-CoV), and the outbreak is still ongoing, which posed a huge threat to the global public health and economics (Bogoch et al., 2020; J.T.
                          A conceptual model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China with individual reaction and governmental action
                        • Letter to the Editor
                          Open Access

                          The basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) estimation based on exponential growth in the early outbreak in China from 2019 to 2020: A reply to Dhungana

                          International Journal of Infectious Diseases
                          Vol. 94p148–150Published online: February 20, 2020
                          • Shi Zhao
                          • Qianying Lin
                          • Jinjun Ran
                          • Salihu S. Musa
                          • Guangpu Yang
                          • Weiming Wang
                          • Yijun Lou
                          • Daozhou Gao
                          • Lin Yang
                          • Daihai He
                          • Maggie H Wang
                          Cited in Scopus: 22
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                            The ongoing outbreak of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) pneumonia in Wuhan, China and other regions remains a major public health concern. We thank Dhungana for comments to our study, Zhao et al. (2020), recently published in the International Journal of Infectious Diseases. The estimates on the basic reproduction number, R0, were carried out early in the outbreak as of January 22, 2020, when the surveillance data and the knowledge of the key epidemiological features of 2019-nCoV were limited.
                            The basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) estimation based on exponential growth in the early outbreak in China from 2019 to 2020: A reply to Dhungana
                          • Research Article
                            Open Access

                            Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak

                            International Journal of Infectious Diseases
                            Vol. 92p214–217Published online: January 30, 2020
                            • Shi Zhao
                            • Qianyin Lin
                            • Jinjun Ran
                            • Salihu S. Musa
                            • Guangpu Yang
                            • Weiming Wang
                            • and others
                            Cited in Scopus: 1021
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                              The atypical pneumonia case, caused by a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), was first reported and confirmed in Wuhan, China on December 31, 2019 (World Health Organization, 2020a). As of January 26 (17:00 GMT), 2020, there have been 2033 confirmed cases of 2019-nCoV infections in mainland China, including 56 deaths (National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China, 2020). The 2019-nCoV cases were also reported in Thailand, Japan, Republic of Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan and the US, and all of these cases were exported from Wuhan; see the World Health Organization (WHO) news release https://www.who.int/csr/don/en/ from January 14–21.
                              Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak
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